Premium Member? LOGIN   ·   Not Premium? TRY PREMIUM FREE NOW

  • Published:July 3, 2013
  • Views:370
  • Share This Article:

Buoyweather is the official forecaster of the Gulf Cup. Below is the forecast update sent to contest organizers on July 3, 2013.

BRIEF OVERVIEW

A broad trough of low pressure is expected to drift west towards the western Gulf through July 4. This will set up strong S/SE winds and unsettled weather over portions of the east and central Gulf for the event. Much lighter and more variable winds are forecast over the western Gulf.

DETAILED ANALYSIS:

The Fishtrack/Buoyweather meteorology team continues to watch an area of unsettled weather over the eastern Gulf associated with low-pressure troughing both at the surface and aloft. We expect this feature to drift W through the day of the Gulf Cup. In addition, some of the computer models continue to suggest a weak area of low pressure will form off this instability just south of Mississippi and Alabama. As a result, strong S to SE winds and the main shower/thunderstorm activity are anticipated over the waters S to SSW of the Florida Panhandle tomorrow. Contestants leaving out of areas between Panama City, FL and Venice, LA should continue to monitor detailed forecasts on Buoyweather.com to see how this may impact local conditions.
Much tamer winds/seas are likely for the far NW Gulf as a decaying frontal boundary leaves light NE to variable winds over the region and seas mainly less than 3ft. Please visit buoyweather.com for detailed point forecasts.
Mark Willis

Generally speaking, an area of 20-30kt S/SE winds and 6-9ft seas is expected over portions of the region between the Yucatan Peninsula and the Florida Panhandle. The highest winds/seas are likely in areas of enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity, and also just south of the Florida Panhandle near the above-mentioned area of low pressure.

Elsewhere, tamer conditions are currently forecast both well to the east and especially west of the above area over the Central Gulf. Much tamer winds/seas are likely for the far NW Gulf as a decaying frontal boundary leaves light NE to variable winds over the region and seas mainly less than 3ft. Please visit buoyweather.com for detailed point forecasts.

TROPICAL OUTLOOK: The above-mentioned unsettled weather over the eastern Gulf is primarily non-tropical in nature but the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 10% chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours. Regardless of its classification, contestants should continue to monitor its evolution as it will lead to areas of enhanced S winds/seas and showers/thunderstorms south of the Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi, and SE Louisiana. Otherwise, the tropics are quiet at this time.

Prepared by Mark Willis and the Buoyweather/Fishtrack Forecast Team

MORE MARINE WEATHER ANALYSES
BUOYWEATHER HOME PAGE